Note that Peter's signals are based on his specific Rules and only the following dates were a result of these Rules since 1929.
On Friday November 10,2017 Peter Eliades was on FBN
Peter has a stock market newsletter
called StockMarket Cycles. He was
discussing an indicator he discovered in 1992 that he calls, “Sign of the Bear”. In short, there have been 8 occurrences in
the past 88 years. Subsequent to these dates the stock market has fallen as
follows.
July 19,1929 -89%
December 8,1961 -29%
January 25,1966 -26.5%
October 17,1968 -36.9%
December 6,1972 -46.5%
April 6,1998 -21%
September 15,2000 -32%
July 10, 2001 -27%
Now, why is this
important? Because another signal just
occurred on October 25,2017.
For each date mentioned above a daily and weekly chart are shown below.
There is a vertical line on each chart at the signal dates so you can see the price action that occurred in each year after the signal date. The price pattern after each date is slightly different.
But one thing stood out. The two signals that had the smallest losses were 1966 and 1998. Interestingly both of these years were the second year of the four year Presidential cycle and next year, 2018, is also the second year of the four year Presidential cycle.
So if history repeats itself, we could expect about a 20% - 25% correction.
More charts to follow...
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has been posted for Educational Purposes Only. Do your own work and
consult with Professionals before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results
Eliades said that there were two failed signals, one in 1993 and 1994. you can't leave them out.
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DeleteThe articles on the Sign of the Bear said there were a couple of false signals, but, the rules were then changed. With the new rules there was a "history" of good signals. This, of course, does not guarantee future signals using these new rules will work 100%...
DeleteToday is November 26, 2017 a month pass the signal date. The stock market has in fact gone up and not down. Can we conclude that this was a failed signal?
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