Tuesday, February 5, 2019

30 Year Nominal Cycle

Going back as far as 1886, five times the 29-30 year cycle was found accompanied by financial hardship.
Below are the 4-5 year periods within the 29-30 year cycle that appear to be important times in the past.   Each of these 4-5 year periods are 29-30 years apart.

1899-1903
Panic of 1901
The DJIA fell 39%

1928-1933
The Great Depression
The DJIA fell 90%

1958-1962
The Recession of 1958, or
The Eisenhower Recession
The DJIA fell 18%
1961 JFK Recession
The DJIA fell 27%

1987-1991
The 1987 Crash
The DJIA fell 37%

2017-2021
We are currently in this window and the fundamentals are flashing a caution light.  The Picasso Composite Cycle dates posted in this Blog, confirmed by the technicals gave a buy in late Dec 2018.   So for now, it is risk on...
At some future date, this may all turn if history is going to give us any guidance once again and it might.  But, which "risk off" signal will be THE one?

"History does not repeat itself but it often rhymes" - Mark Twain


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This has been posted for Educational Purposes Only.   
Do your own work and consult with Professionals before making any investment decisions.  
Past performance is not indicative of future results.



 

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