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| Read more about the above chart at...http://www.smithers.co.uk/page.php?id=34 |
A full cycle between lows (1932-1848ish=84yrs) a half cycle of 84yrs would be 42yrs...This is the same difference between the following lows (1974-1932=42yrs)...
So...applying a full cycle of 84 yrs...1848ish+84=1932+84=2016 suggests the year of a possible bottom...
Applying a half cycle from the last major bottom...1974+42=2016 suggests the year of a possible bottom...
Applying the nominal 40yr cycle from the last major bottom...1974+40=2014 which suggests another year of a possible bottom...
Or will there be a bottom in both 2014 and 2016?
That is a very good possibility with a flat to up market during 2015...since this has been the story with every 5th year of a decade for the last 100 years...
Approximate long term cycle lengths may be explained as outer planetary cycles...which are also forecasting bottoms in the years 2014 and 2016...
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Kress cycles all bottom in 2014. Last bottom was in 1894 as the stock market crashed 50% into that law. Funny thing was the government was buying stocks to prop the economy up going into that depression just like they're doing right now. It worked until 1893 when the crash started.
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I have spoken to Bud Kress several times and enjoyed our conversations...You are describing the 120 yr Kress cycle...I created a chart in excel of the Kress 60 Year Supercycle for Bud...He said he might use it in his Special Edition Reports, but he never did...I don't know your level of knowledge about the Kress cycles, but, Clif Droke wrote a book "The Stock Market Cycles" after many interviews with Bud Kress...It may interest you...
So Let's watch and see if there are anymore QE programs after this one expires...Mmmmm
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