Wednesday, August 1, 2018

So when might this Bull end?

This year, the 2nd year of the Presidential cycle, and the Decennial Cycle seem to be playing out according to their scripts.

This bull market, as we have been hearing over and over again, is long in the tooth.

So when might this bull end?   Below is a chart and some statistics that may offer some clues.

We have discussed the Presidential Cycle in past blog posts.  So lets get right to the 2nd year which is where we are right now, 2018.  From the low in the 2nd year to the high in the 3rd year there has been excellent gains over the past 100 years +/-.   Below is the data for you to review.

Courtesy of Stock Traders Almanac
As you can see the gains have been great. 

Another Cycle to look at in addition to the Presidential Cycle is the Decennial Cycle.
This cycle shows that  lows and or bottoms in the stock market have been made in the first half of the decade and highs and or tops have been made in the second half of the decade.
You can see this in the following chart.

Courtesy of SeasonalCharts.com

Putting these two Cycles together, one might suspect that stocks may go higher into 2019 and that some sort of correction may commence and end in 2021-2023.

Keep following JustSignals using Twitter, @StockTwits or Follow By Email. Just submit your email address in the box on the Blog homepage
This has been posted for Educational Purposes Only.   
Do your own work and consult with Professionals before making any investment decisions.  
Past performance is not indicative of future results.



No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.