This was posted on Sept 28,2015 and since tomorrow is Oct 16,2015 it is timely to post it again.
Excerpts from "Beat the Market the Easy Way" by Sy Harding
"Sell in May and Go Away"
"Ned
Davis Research Inc. published numerous studies showing the positive
historical results of being invested in the markets for the seven month
period of October 1 to May 1, and being in cash the other five months."
"Thus
an investor standing aside during the market's infavorable seasons not
only matched the buy and hold performance of the S&P 500 and did so
with only 50% of market risk, but also avoided the emotional stress of
seeing portfolios often plunge precipitously during unfavorable
seasons."
"IT IS NOT A FIXED 6-MONTHS IN, 6-MONTHS OUT!"
It
is BEST to read this book. The book is available at many libraries,
either in paper or digital versions or it can be purchased easily
online.
In summary, after the research made by
Ned Davis Research Inc., Yale Hirsch of the Hirsch Organization and Alan
Newman, editor of the Crosscurrents newsletter, Sy Harding's firm,
Asset Management Research Corp. conducted more detailed research. In
their research they found that when the Moving Average Convergence
Divergence (MACD), developed by Gerald Appel, was applied, the
performance was much better.
"It works this way in our (Sy Harding's) seasonal strategy."
"If
MACD is on a technical buy signal, indicating a rally is underway, when
the October 16 earliest calendar date for seasonal entry arrives, we
will enter at that time."
"However, if the MACD indicator is on a
sell signal when the October 16 calendar date arrives, indicating a
market decline is underway it would not make sense to enter before that
decline ends, even though the average best calendar entry date has
arrived. In that event, our (Sy Harding's) Seasonal Timing Strategy
simply waits to enter until MACD gives it's next buy signal, indicting
that the decline has ended."
Use the same method in reverse when April 20 arrives to better pinpoint the end of the markets favorable period in the Spring.
Please
take the time to read Sy Harding's book. It is relatively short and
easy to read and it has many more exciting findings by Sy Harding.
Keep following JustSignals using Twitter, @StockTwits or Follow By Email.
Just submit your email address in the box on the Blog homepage
This
has been posted for Educational Purposes Only. Do your own work and
consult with Professionals before making any investment decisions.
Past performance is not indicative of future results
No comments:
Post a Comment
Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.