Monday, January 19, 2015

Short Term Forecast

Review of the last Short Term Forecast Dates Made Jan 2nd
- Forecast Trend Change Dates are (+/-)
1) Jan 8th +/-
2) Jan 13-17th +/-
3) Jan 21st +/-
 
COMMENTS
Jan 3rd - was a Saturday suggesting that Friday or Monday be the trend change days and it happened on Tuesday morning very close the the suggested dates
Jan 8th - the market rallied right into this trend change date
Jan 13-17th - so far the market bottomed on Friday Jan 16th in the suggested time period
Jan 21st - To be discussed in the next update

Following cycles has been good to use as a guide or as a potential future road map, but, other tools must always be used for confirmation of any forecast trend change date.  
 
NEW SHORT TERM FORECAST DATES
- Forecast Trend Change Dates are (+/-)
1) Jan 20-25th
2) Jan 28th
3) Feb 1-6th
4) Feb 8-13th
5) Feb 18th
 
Since cycles do not distinguish between trading days and calendar days, the cycle dates may come out on Holidays or weekends.  So the dates suggested that do fall on such days are to be used as a window.   So, as always, other tools must always be used for confirmation of any forecast cycle trends.  All forecast dates will still be noted with a "+/-" because the cycle dates are not always as perfect as we would like them to be.  Although they have been pretty accurate.   

Intermediate Term Forecast Trend Change Dates

Intermediate term - at this time the Short Term Cycles and the Intermediate Term Cycles are not in sync.  Therefore an update in the Intermediate Term Cycles will wait for more clarification before making any new suggestions.

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This has been posted for Educational Purposes Only.   Do your own work and consult with Professionals before making any investment decisions. 
Past performance is not indicative of future results

3 comments:

  1. Appreciate your updates. For your upcoming Wednesday 01-28 date (FOMC Meeting) just wondering if you see a likely High, or a Low? Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Jim
    The cycles watched suggest a low on Wednesday 1-28.
    Don't forget that the cycle dates published are +/- and occasionally the dates hit on schedule.
    BTW 2/18 can be a potentially important date and a possible top.
    Watch for updates on this.
    Thank you for following JustSignals

    ReplyDelete
  3. Thanks for your thoughts. A low on 01-28 would be my preference, to build exposure for an upmove into mid February (also end of month and start of seasonally favorable period). Have a good week Regards, Jim P.

    ReplyDelete

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