Bullish Signal Has Never Been Wrong - And It's About To Flash For 2017
MarketWatch.com
By Victor Reklaitus
Full article link below
http://on.mktw.net/2l7Kmlu
Extracts from the full article
CFRA’s Sam Stovall says he’s looking for a long-overdue “digestion of
gains,” though he adds the pause will not likely result in the end of
this bull market.
The
run will continue, the chief investment strategist writes, thanks in
part to improving earnings and inflation staying subdued. In support, he
notes one indicator that’s close to getting triggered.
“If you
need additional encouragement that a bear market is not just around the
corner, history again may offer some more virtual Valium,” says Stovall,
who delivers our call of the day.
Since 1945,
there have been 27 years when the S&P has achieved gains in January
and February. The stock index then finished up for the year (on a
total-return basis) in every one those years, according to Stovall.
That’s going 27 for 27, or batting a thousand.
The average rise in those years was 24%, as shown in his chart below.
So that bodes well for 2017 — though the chart’s footnote features
that favorite Wall Street caveat: “Past performance is no guarantee of
future results.”
Plus, February isn’t over yet, and it’s
typically the stock market’s second-worst month of the year. But the
S&P is up 3.8% for the month, after rising 1.8% in January.
As Stovall puts it, the first two months can “offer a clue that investors believe that good things still lie ahead.”
Keep following JustSignals using Twitter, @StockTwits or Follow By Email. Just submit your email address in the box on the Blog homepage. This
has been posted for Educational Purposes Only. Do your own work and
consult with Professionals before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results
No comments:
Post a Comment
Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.