Strong Summation Index

Courtesy of McClellan Financial Publications

May 13, 2016

The strong breadth numbers which produced a new all-time high for the A-D Line this year also produced a really high reading for the Ratio-Adjusted Summation Index (RASI), the highest since 2012.  And that action conveys to us the promise of higher price highs.

But it does not preclude a meaningful correction first, and we appear to be in the midst of that right now.  The RASI is falling, as it typically does during corrective periods. 

The basic point is that after a correction like we saw earlier this year, with the Feb. 11, 2016 price bottom, the RASI shows a strong market by rising well up above the +500 level.  When the RASI can do that, we like to say that it signals that the new rally has demonstrated

                                   “escape velocity”

 like a rocket trying to leave Earth’s gravity, and thus the price averages do not need to fall back down to test the prior low.  More importantly, while the RASI may top out and lead to a corrective period, we are promised a higher high after that correction. 

Exactly when that higher high comes, and how much higher, are not points revealed by the RASI.  We have to turn to other tools to divine those. But the uptrend should be expected to continue until such time as there is a failure by the RASI to climb back up above the +500 level after dropping below it

Tom McClellan
Editor, The McClellan Market Report
www.mcoscillator.com
(253) 581-4889 

See the JustSignals post on  “escape velocity”  

Link     http://justsignals.blogspot.com/2016/03/2016-bear-or-bull.html

Based on the information from Tom McClellan in the article above and the JustSignals post on "Escape Velocity" with the charts of each of the years in which an escape thrust was seen since 1970, both indicate that a positive market should be seen after a mid year pullback.

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This has been posted for Educational Purposes Only.   Do your own work and consult with Professionals before making any investment decisions.  
Past performance is not indicative of future results