Friday, May 13, 2011

Cycles Forecast for the S&P500


Due to a problem at  www.blogger.com  one of our posts was lost...
Below is the lost post...

The following information is based on limited data and limited back testing...
There are three sets of events below...
Each set of forecasted monthly Tops and monthly Bottoms is based on the same cycle events...
The index used was the S&P500...
For the highs we noted the SPX high for that month and for the lows we noted the SPX low for that month...

Top August 1987 – SPX high 337.89
Bottom December 1987 – SPX low 221.24
Bottom November 1990 – SPX low 301.61

Top July 1999 – SPX high 1420.33
Bottom October 1999 – SPX low 1233.66
Bottom September 2002 – SPX low 800.20

Top May 2011 – SPX high 1370.58
Bottom August 2011 – SPX low ?
Bottom July 2014 – SPX low ?

Note that in each set above the time between the top and the first bottom is 3-4 months and the time between the top and the second bottom is approximately 3 years.

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

No comments:

Post a Comment

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.