Sunday, December 22, 2013

Coincidence ?

The Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker left office right at the 1987 stock market top.
Alan Greenspan  left office about one year before the 2007 stock market top.
Ben Bernanke leaves office in January 2014.
Is another stock market top imminent ???

Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Tuesday, December 17, 2013

Recap of the May 2011 Forecast and Where are We Now

Our May 13th Forecast Turned Out to Be Very Accurate

An S&P500 forecast was made on Friday May 13,2011 for a May top and a sell off into August 2011...
Below is a summary of what happened...
Top May 2011 – SPX high 1370.58
Bottom August 2011 – the SPX closing low for August was 1119.46
This was a drop of 251.12 S&P500 points or 18.3% 
Below is a copy of the Forecast made or scroll back to Friday May 13,2011 for the original Forecast...
The following information is based on limited data and limited back testing...
There are three sets of events below...
Each set of forecasted monthly Tops and monthly Bottoms is based on the same astro events...
The index used was the S&P500...
For the highs we noted the SPX high for that month and for the lows we noted the SPX low for that month...

Top August 1987 – SPX high 337.89
Bottom December 1987 – SPX low 221.24
Bottom November 1990 – SPX low 301.61

Top July 1999 – SPX high 1420.33
Bottom October 1999 – SPX low 1233.66
Bottom September 2002 – SPX low 800.20

Top May 2011 – SPX high 1370.58
Bottom August 2011 – SPX low ?     (1119.46 was the August closing low)
Bottom July 2014 – SPX low ?

Note that in each set above the time between the top and the first bottom is 3-4 months and the time between the top and the second bottom is approximately 3 years. 
 
SO WHERE ARE WE NOW ?
If history is going to repeat itself, we maybe looking at a SPX reading of less than 1370.58 in the middle to the second half of 2014...
That would be about a 24% drop from the 1800.00 level...
 

Past performance is not indicative of future results.